الأربعاء، 2 نوفمبر 2016

US elections: the five groups that will decide who the next president

In an election with more than 100 million votes cast, that was all it took George W. Bush to become US president in 2000.
Therefore, although the US presidential election often described as an exercise to attract the largest possible number of voters, candidates can never ignore certain sectors of the electorate.
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Billionaires who support Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump
BBC World presents you five groups, large and small, that can tip the balance to either side on 8 November.
white men without college degrees
Polls show that this is the core group of voters the Republican candidate Donald Trump. Trump's positions on trade agreements and immigration fit well with working-class voters.
But the question is: "Are there enough of them, especially in so-called pendulum states as to give victory?".
"The phenomenon Donald Trump has been nurtured resentment against the first black president" USA, Barack Obama
Followers expecting the Republican candidate Donald Trump in Burlington,
"The silent majority is with Trump," reads this poster seen at a campaign rally on October 21, 2015 in Burlington, Iowa.
Don Levy, which conducts polls in the state of New York, said that Trump would have to win these voters by a "tremendously wide margin".
Trump supporters are optimistic that this can happen and base their opinion on these two complementary scenarios:
Many of these voters stayed home in previous elections but this time go to vote for Trump.
Some of likely voters Trump are not honest with pollsters about their intentions because their candidate is not "politically correct".
Levy, director of the Research Institute of Siena College, says he does not share any of these scenarios.
Levy says that in their surveys, voters have not been reluctant to express their support for Trump, often having to pollsters on the phone for a long time to explain why they support the New York millionaire.
5 reasons why so many Americans are "furious"
And in a race with few candidates so unpopular, Levy expects a low turnout rather than a surge of new voters.

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